State governments are writing multimillion-dollar checks to Deloitte, Accenture, and Optum to build the administrative infrastructure that will remove millions of Americans from Medicaid. Wisconsin alone will pay nearly $10.2 million for system changes, Iowa at least $20 million, and Illinois $12 million — taxpayer-funded investments to enforce work requirements that the Congressional Budget Office projects will strip coverage from 5.3 million people by 2034. For healthcare marketers, the calculus is brutal: your patient acquisition cost just increased while your addressable market contracted.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act mandates that 18.5 million Medicaid adults in 42 states prove they work 80 hours monthly or qualify for exemptions starting later in 2026. State documents obtained by KFF Health News show consulting firms are billing between $1.6 million and $20 million per state to modify eligibility systems — technology platforms with documented histories of errors that have already wrongly terminated benefits for eligible recipients. Wisconsin officials estimate 63,000 adults will lose coverage, saving $532.6 million in annual Medicaid spending while Deloitte collects $6 million to reprogram the state's enrollment system.
Vermont deputy commissioner Adaline Strumolo described the federal mandate as requiring states to "essentially drop everything else we were doing." The state expects to spend $5 million implementing changes in fiscal 2027, with $1.8 million directed to Optum for eligibility system modifications. Nearly 55,000 Vermont residents — one-third of the state's Medicaid population — will face new compliance requirements.
The infrastructure investment reveals a fundamental shift in how states will manage benefits programs. While nearly two-thirds of adult Medicaid enrollees already work according to KFF data, the new verification systems create administrative bottlenecks that will disenroll working people who fail to document their employment correctly. For healthcare systems that serve Medicaid populations, this represents a dual threat: declining patient volumes and increased uncompensated care as newly uninsured patients default to emergency departments.
The Technology Vendors Profiting From Disenrollment
Deloitte holds eligibility system contracts in Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Illinois. The firm estimated Wisconsin's Medicaid work requirement changes at $6 million, with another $4.2 million for SNAP program modifications. Kentucky has already paid Deloitte $1.6 million for initial changes under a contract relationship dating to 2012. Illinois faces at least $12 million in Deloitte-billed modifications.
Accenture operates Iowa's Medicaid eligibility platform and submitted a $20 million estimate for compliance changes. Optum, a UnitedHealth Group subsidiary with a Vermont contract worth $125.6 million as of October, quoted $1.8 million to evaluate and incorporate new coverage restrictions.
The federal government funds most eligibility system costs, making this a transfer of federal dollars to private consulting firms to reduce federal Medicaid spending — administrative investment to achieve disenrollment savings. The Congressional Budget Office calculated that Medicaid provisions in the law will cause 7.5 million people to become uninsured by 2034, with work requirements accounting for 5.3 million of those losses.
These same systems have documented reliability problems. A previous KFF Health News investigation found state eligibility platforms generate notices with errors, send Medicaid paperwork to wrong addresses, and freeze for hours. State audits and court documents show fixes take months while low-income residents lose coverage.
Market Contraction Meets Compliance Chaos
Harvard health policy professor Adrianna McIntyre characterized the vendor payments as "a pretty big payday." The economics are straightforward: states pay millions upfront to consultants, then recoup hundreds of millions by removing people from coverage. Wisconsin's $10.2 million technology investment eliminates 63,000 enrollees and saves $532.6 million annually — a 52-to-1 return achieved through administrative friction.
For healthcare marketers, this creates compounding challenges. Medicaid patients who lose coverage don't immediately transition to employer-sponsored insurance or marketplace plans. Many become uninsured, disappearing from insured patient acquisition channels. Others cycle between coverage and uninsurance as they struggle with monthly work verification, creating eligibility volatility that complicates patient relationship management and revenue forecasting.
The Congressional Budget Office projects 2.4 million people will also lose SNAP food assistance, including families with children. Reduced food security correlates with worse health outcomes and increased acute care utilization — a pattern that shifts patient mix toward higher-acuity, lower-reimbursement cases.
Meanwhile, the Trump administration's separate August 2025 directive ordering states to verify immigration status for hundreds of thousands of Medicaid enrollees produced minimal disenrollments after seven months. Pennsylvania and Colorado found zero ineligible enrollees among 79,000 names reviewed. Texas terminated 77 of 28,000, Ohio removed 260 of 65,000, and Utah disenrolled 42 of 8,000. Georgetown University research professor Leonardo Cuello called the reviews "entirely predictable" failures because states already verify immigration status at enrollment, describing the duplicate checks as "incredibly wasteful and inefficient."
The contrast is instructive: immigration status reviews that produced almost no disenrollments still consumed state administrative resources, while work requirement systems receiving tens of millions in vendor payments are designed specifically to increase disenrollment through documentation barriers.
Revenue Cycle Disruption and Uncompensated Care Exposure
Health systems serving Medicaid populations face immediate revenue cycle implications. Eligibility verification becomes more complex when coverage depends on monthly work hour documentation. Real-time eligibility checks at service delivery will more frequently show coverage gaps for patients who missed verification deadlines despite remaining employed.
The administrative burden shifts partially to providers. Front-desk staff must explain work requirements to patients, potentially delaying care while eligibility resolves. Billing departments will see increased claim denials for services delivered during coverage gaps, requiring more aggressive charity care policies or collection activities.
Safety-net hospitals and federally qualified health centers carry disproportionate exposure. These organizations derive significant revenue from Medicaid and serve populations least equipped to navigate monthly compliance requirements. A patient working multiple part-time jobs may struggle to compile verification documentation. Someone with variable hours or gig economy employment faces monthly uncertainty about meeting the 80-hour threshold.
Uncompensated care will increase. The Congressional Budget Office's projection of 7.5 million newly uninsured people by 2034 represents billions in potential uncompensated care costs, concentrated among providers already operating on thin margins. For these organizations, the vendor payments to states represent infrastructure investment that directly undermines their financial sustainability.
Patient Communication Requirements Multiply
Medicaid enrollees subject to work requirements will receive multiple notices: initial notifications about the requirement, monthly reminders to report hours, warnings about approaching deadlines, and termination notices for non-compliance. Each communication touchpoint represents both a compliance obligation for states and a potential point of failure.
Healthcare marketers should anticipate increased patient confusion. Someone who receives a termination notice may not understand they can reapply immediately upon submitting work verification. That coverage gap may delay scheduled procedures, interrupt chronic disease management, or push the patient toward emergency care.
Patient retention strategies must adapt. Appointment reminder systems should include eligibility verification prompts. Patient navigators need training on work requirement exemptions and documentation processes. Financial counselors require updated scripts for discussing coverage loss scenarios and alternative payment arrangements.
The communication burden extends beyond current patients. Outreach campaigns targeting Medicaid populations must account for eligibility volatility. A patient who qualified for preventive care outreach in January may be uninsured by March due to verification gaps, requiring updated segmentation models and dynamic eligibility checks before campaign deployment.
The 1ness Take
Healthcare marketers should model three scenarios immediately: baseline disenrollment matching Congressional Budget Office projections, accelerated disenrollment if state systems produce higher-than-expected administrative barriers, and regional variation based on your state's implementation timeline and technology vendor.
Build eligibility verification into every patient touchpoint. Your scheduling system should flag Medicaid patients subject to work requirements for proactive eligibility confirmation 48 hours before appointments. This prevents patients from traveling to appointments only to discover coverage lapsed. The cost of a failed appointment extends beyond lost revenue — it damages patient trust and reduces likelihood of rescheduling.
Redirect marketing investment toward enrollment assistance. Partner with community organizations to host work requirement documentation workshops. Position your health system as a resource for navigating the new requirements, not just a service provider. This builds loyalty with patients who will remember which organizations helped them maintain coverage versus which simply turned them away when eligibility lapsed.
Develop financial assistance pathways before disenrollment peaks. Patients who lose Medicaid coverage need immediate visibility into charity care qualification, payment plans, and marketplace enrollment options. Your revenue cycle team should pilot fast-track financial screening for recently disenrolled Medicaid patients, with marketing creating awareness of these programs through digital channels and community partnerships.
Safety-net systems should quantify uncompensated care exposure for board presentations now. Use Congressional Budget Office projections to model coverage losses in your service area, translate those numbers to potential uncompensated care dollars, and present the vendor payment amounts states are directing to consultants versus investing in coverage retention. This positions your organization to advocate for state policy modifications while demonstrating fiscal impact to stakeholders.
The consulting firms building these systems have documented reliability problems. Prepare for eligibility system failures during peak implementation periods. When systems freeze or generate erroneous termination notices — as previous investigations have documented — your organization needs protocols for provisional service delivery and retroactive billing when eligibility is restored.
The Takeaway
Immediate Actions:
- Model coverage loss scenarios using Congressional Budget Office projections scaled to your service area demographics. Translate enrollment losses to revenue impact and uncompensated care exposure. Present findings to finance and executive leadership within 60 days.
- Implement proactive eligibility verification at scheduling for all Medicaid patients. Flag those subject to work requirements for confirmation calls 48 hours before appointments. Reduce failed appointments and strengthen patient relationships.
- Develop enrollment assistance partnerships with community organizations. Host documentation workshops and position your health system as a coverage retention resource. Market these services through digital channels, community health workers, and patient portals.
Healthcare marketers can no longer treat Medicaid eligibility as stable. The monthly verification requirement transforms Medicaid from continuous coverage to provisional enrollment contingent on documentation compliance. Update patient lifetime value models, segmentation strategies, and acquisition cost calculations to reflect eligibility volatility. Organizations that adapt patient engagement and financial assistance programs before disenrollment peaks will retain more patients and sustain fewer coverage-gap service disruptions than competitors still operating under pre-2026 assumptions.
References
[1] Liss, S., & Pradhan, R. (2026, March 31). States Pay Deloitte, Others Millions To Comply With Trump Law To Cut Medicaid Rolls. KFF Health News. https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/state-medicaid-work-requirements-eligibility-systems-deloitte-accenture-optum/
[2] Galewitz, P. (2026, March 31). Trump’s Hunt for Undocumented Medicaid Enrollees Yields Few Violators. KFF Health News. https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/medicaid-undocumented-enrollees-review-few-violators/
This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security. Content is based on publicly available sources believed reliable but not guaranteed. Opinions and forward-looking statements are subject to change; past performance is not indicative of future results. 1ness Strategies and its affiliates may hold positions in securities discussed herein. Readers should conduct independent due diligence and consult qualified advisors before making investment decisions.
© 2026 1ness Strategies. All rights reserved.